Euro 2008
2007-11-26
A simplistic way to look at the euro issue is to say that the
adoption rate could be Kè 25 or Kè 35, depending on what
happens next. Those who say the Czech economy is ready now
would tend to believe the stronger value, while those who want
serious economic reforms before the euro takes effect tend to
expect the crown to weaken. Without reforms, investors could
start cutting their spending and increasing their repatriation of
profits, which would drive down the crown. CNB Vice Gov.
Miroslav Singer told MFD that the CR has reached its growth
ceiling and that the party is coming to an end. Gov. Zdenìk
Tùma told FAZ that it could be catastrophic if the CR kept its 3%
budget deficit and the 5-6% growth rate started to decline. It's
clear that the CR can't adopt the euro before 2012, but with no
serious reforms in sight, the time to convert your crowns might
conceivably come as soon as next year.
[Czech Republic MF Dnes Czech National Bank governor
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung European Union appreciation
depreciation]
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