More exposure
2008-11-04
Forget Iceland, let's talk real estate. Anyone in the market to buy
a dwelling in the CR has certainly noticed the way mortgage
banks are jacking up their rates, even as the Czech National
Bank is about to slash its own. But few outside the professional
community have noticed the sharp jump in interbank rates and
put two and two together. True, interbank rates fell yesterday
after rising steadily for six weeks, but the spread continues to
widen if you price in the CNB's expected rate cut on Thur. High
interbank rates are evidence that banks are hesitant to lend
money to each other, because they don't know what ugly
surprises might show up on the counterparty's books. Some of
the doubt revolves around highly leveraged real-estate
developers whose credit lines have been curtailed or halted as
lenders realize the folly of their past ways. Banks were slow to
reveal their exposure to Iceland, but the end results weren't so
bad. It's time for them to come clean on their exposure to
developers and construction companies too.
[Czech Republic property]
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